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EUR

Euro Strength

-34 Slightly Weak ▼ weakening Rank #8 of 8
Price vs fundamentals Broadly in line No strong divergence: the -34 fundamental read and the -1.3% three-month move against the dollar are roughly consistent.

The Euro sits at the bottom of the eight majors with a score of -34. Positioning is a clear headwind — speculative futures traders are heavily net-short the Euro, among the most bearish readings in years. That adds selling pressure, though such crowded shorts can snap back quickly. The trend is negative — the score has dropped 15 points over recent weeks. On a valuation basis, it looks cheap versus its own one-year range, which may help cushion the downside from here.

What's driving it

The interest-rate pillar here is built from the 10-year government bond yield only — a live policy/short-term rate wasn't available, so it reflects the term premium rather than the central-bank rate.

Pillar breakdown
Interest Rates -56
Positioning -28
Risk Mood -0
Underlying data
10-year yield3.05%as of 2026-05-01
Real 10-year (after inflation)-0.09% (3.1% CPI)as of 2026-05-01
Fund positioning13th pctileas of 2026-06-23
3-month move vs USD-1.3%
Valuation (vs 1-yr norm)historically cheap

Historic Macro Strength Trend

+100+500−50−100

EUR vs the other majors

Strength gap — click for the full pair

All currencies

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Research on EUR

The Pound's Near One-Year High vs the Euro: Why the Burnham Succession Is Lifting GBP/EUR
Sterling is near its best against the euro in about a year. The driver is a two-sided story: a UK political-risk unwind …
The ECB Hiked Rates — and the Euro Fell Anyway: Why a Rate Hike Didn't Lift EUR/USD
The ECB raised rates for the first time since 2023, yet EUR/USD slid to its weakest since mid-March. Here's why a hike d…
German Inflation Cools to 2.3%: What the June Surprise Means for the Euro and the ECB
German CPI slowed to 2.3% in June, below the 2.5% expected, as energy disinflation kicked in. Here's what the surprise m…
The Digital Euro Clears a Key Hurdle: What a European CBDC Means for the Euro
The European Parliament's lead committee just backed the digital euro 43–14. Here's what a European CBDC means for the e…

EUR strength — frequently asked

Is the Euro (EUR) strong or weak right now?

As of the latest update, the Euro scores -34 on PIPTHEORY's macro currency strength meter (Slightly Weak), ranking #8 of the 8 major currencies. The score refreshes every 4 hours.

What drives the Euro?

PIPTHEORY scores the Euro across five macro factors: interest rates, economic growth, speculative positioning, risk sentiment and commodity exposure. The 'What's driving it' breakdown above shows how each factor is contributing now.

How is EUR currency strength measured?

Each currency is scored from -100 (very weak) to +100 (very strong) relative to the other majors, using a mechanical model. The same inputs always produce the same score, so the reading never contradicts itself from one day to the next.

How often is the EUR strength score updated?

Every four hours, as fresh central-bank, economic and market data is released.