EUR/AUD Gap -51.7 Updated 1 Oct, 04:18 UTC

EUR/AUD: the macro gap

On the Macro Currency Strength Meter, the Euro scores -39 and the Australian Dollar scores +13 — a gap of 52 points in favour of the Australian Dollar. The widest divergence is in interest rates, which favours the Australian Dollar. All else equal that gap is a fundamental tailwind for the Australian Dollar against the Euro — though markets may already have priced much of it in.

EUR/AUD STRENGTH GAP1Y · BASE MINUS QUOTE0-52+1-74-52 AND FADING
EUR minus AUD, composite macro score over the past year. Above zero, the EUR side carries the edge; below, the AUD.
Strength gap
-51.7
Stronger side
AUD
Edge is
Holding steady
Scores
-39 vs +13

Factor by factor

Positive is stronger relative to the other majors, not in absolute terms. The gap column is EUR minus AUD.

FactorEURAUDGap
Interest Rates -66 +31 -97.0
Growth — -41 +40.9
Positioning -26 +30 -56.1
Risk Mood -0 +24 -24.4
Commodities — +15 -15.3
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