EUR/GBP Gap -10.9 Updated 1 Oct, 04:18 UTC

EUR/GBP: the macro gap

On the Macro Currency Strength Meter, the Euro scores -39 and the British Pound scores -28 — a gap of 11 points in favour of the British Pound. The widest divergence is in interest rates, which favours the British Pound. All else equal that gap is a fundamental tailwind for the British Pound against the Euro — though markets may already have priced much of it in.

EUR/GBP STRENGTH GAP1Y · BASE MINUS QUOTE0-11+7-46-11 AND HOLDING
EUR minus GBP, composite macro score over the past year. Above zero, the EUR side carries the edge; below, the GBP.
Strength gap
-10.9
Stronger side
GBP
Edge is
Narrowing
Scores
-39 vs -28

Factor by factor

Positive is stronger relative to the other majors, not in absolute terms. The gap column is EUR minus GBP.

FactorEURGBPGap
Interest Rates -66 -31 -35.2
Positioning -26 -48 +21.0
Risk Mood -0 +5 -4.9
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