EUR/GBP Gap -29.6 Updated 16 Aug, 20:20 UTC

EUR/GBP: the macro gap

On the Macro Currency Strength Meter, the Euro scores -37 and the British Pound scores -7 — a gap of 30 points in favour of the British Pound. The widest divergence is in positioning, which favours the British Pound. All else equal that gap is a fundamental tailwind for the British Pound against the Euro — though markets may already have priced much of it in.

EUR/GBP STRENGTH GAP1Y · BASE MINUS QUOTE0-30+7-46-30 AND RISING
EUR minus GBP, composite macro score over the past year. Above zero, the EUR side carries the edge; below, the GBP.
Strength gap
-29.6
Stronger side
GBP
Edge is
Narrowing
Scores
-37 vs -7

Factor by factor

Positive is stronger relative to the other majors, not in absolute terms. The gap column is EUR minus GBP.

FactorEURGBPGap
Interest Rates -51 -35 -16.6
Positioning -43 +20 -63.5
Risk Mood -0 +11 -10.6
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