EUR/CAD Gap -30.2 Updated 1 Oct, 04:18 UTC

EUR/CAD: the macro gap

On the Macro Currency Strength Meter, the Euro scores -39 and the Canadian Dollar scores -9 — a gap of 30 points in favour of the Canadian Dollar. The widest divergence is in interest rates, which favours the Canadian Dollar. All else equal that gap is a fundamental tailwind for the Canadian Dollar against the Euro — though markets may already have priced much of it in.

EUR/CAD STRENGTH GAP1Y · BASE MINUS QUOTE0-30+27-34-30 AND FADING
EUR minus CAD, composite macro score over the past year. Above zero, the EUR side carries the edge; below, the CAD.
Strength gap
-30.2
Stronger side
CAD
Edge is
Holding steady
Scores
-39 vs -9

Factor by factor

Positive is stronger relative to the other majors, not in absolute terms. The gap column is EUR minus CAD.

FactorEURCADGap
Interest Rates -66 -33 -33.2
Growth — -20 +19.6
Positioning -26 +3 -29.7
Risk Mood -0 +15 -14.6
Commodities — +16 -16.3
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