AUD/CAD Gap +39.2 Updated 16 Aug, 20:20 UTC

AUD/CAD: the macro gap

On the Macro Currency Strength Meter, the Australian Dollar scores +24 and the Canadian Dollar scores -16 — a gap of 39 points in favour of the Australian Dollar. The widest divergence is in interest rates, which favours the Australian Dollar. All else equal that gap is a fundamental tailwind for the Australian Dollar against the Canadian Dollar — though markets may already have priced much of it in.

AUD/CAD STRENGTH GAP1Y · BASE MINUS QUOTE0+39+64-7+39 AND RISING
AUD minus CAD, composite macro score over the past year. Above zero, the AUD side carries the edge; below, the CAD.
Strength gap
+39.2
Stronger side
AUD
Edge is
Holding steady
Scores
+24 vs -16

Factor by factor

Positive is stronger relative to the other majors, not in absolute terms. The gap column is AUD minus CAD.

FactorAUDCADGap
Interest Rates +65 -25 +90.6
Growth -32 -5 -26.9
Positioning +55 -26 +81.5
Risk Mood +53 +32 +21.2
Commodities -59 -44 -14.2
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