GBP/USD Gap -4.4 Updated 16 Aug, 20:20 UTC

GBP/USD: the macro gap

On the Macro Currency Strength Meter, the British Pound scores -7 and the US Dollar scores -3 — a gap of 4 points in favour of the US Dollar. The widest divergence is in risk mood, which favours the British Pound. With both currencies scoring similarly, the fundamental case here is broadly balanced.

GBP/USD STRENGTH GAP1Y · BASE MINUS QUOTE0-4+10-45-4 AND HOLDING
GBP minus USD, composite macro score over the past year. Above zero, the GBP side carries the edge; below, the USD.
Strength gap
-4.4
Stronger side
USD
Edge is
Widening
Scores
-7 vs -3

Factor by factor

Positive is stronger relative to the other majors, not in absolute terms. The gap column is GBP minus USD.

FactorGBPUSDGap
Interest Rates -35 -29 -5.6
Growth +15 -14.8
Positioning +20 +40 -20.0
Risk Mood +11 -32 +42.3
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