GBP/AUD Gap -40.8 Updated 1 Oct, 04:18 UTC

GBP/AUD: the macro gap

On the Macro Currency Strength Meter, the British Pound scores -28 and the Australian Dollar scores +13 — a gap of 41 points in favour of the Australian Dollar. The widest divergence is in positioning, which favours the Australian Dollar. All else equal that gap is a fundamental tailwind for the Australian Dollar against the British Pound — though markets may already have priced much of it in.

GBP/AUD STRENGTH GAP1Y · BASE MINUS QUOTE0-41+13-66-41 AND FADING
GBP minus AUD, composite macro score over the past year. Above zero, the GBP side carries the edge; below, the AUD.
Strength gap
-40.8
Stronger side
AUD
Edge is
Widening
Scores
-28 vs +13

Factor by factor

Positive is stronger relative to the other majors, not in absolute terms. The gap column is GBP minus AUD.

FactorGBPAUDGap
Interest Rates -31 +31 -61.8
Growth — -41 +40.9
Positioning -48 +30 -77.1
Risk Mood +5 +24 -19.5
Commodities — +15 -15.3
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