NZD #2 of 8 Updated 1 Oct, 04:18 UTC

New Zealand Dollar

The New Zealand Dollar is one of the stronger currencies right now, ranking #2 of eight with a score of +20. The biggest tailwind is interest rates. With a short-term rate around 3.0%, the New Zealand Dollar offers a meaningful yield advantage over most of its peers, which tends to attract capital into the currency. Broader risk appetite is positive, which helps the New Zealand Dollar. As a currency tied to global growth and trade activity, it tends to strengthen when investors feel confident and weaken when they retreat to safety. On the commodity side, firm prices for farm goods like dairy are providing a clear boost. Strong export revenues support the currency through the balance of payments and improve the terms of trade. On a valuation basis, it looks cheap versus its own one-year range, which may help cushion the downside from here.

NZD MACRO STRENGTH1Y · MACRO SCORE+20+27-17+20 AND RISING
Composite macro score over the past year. Range −100 to +100; zero is the middle of the pack.
Score
+20
Rank
#2 of 8
Trend
Stable +0.9
Price, 3 months
-1.2%

The five factors

Interest Rates +27
Positioning -5
Risk Mood +24
Commodities +33
Model versus price

{'state': 'inline', 'label': 'Broadly in line', 'detail': 'No strong divergence: the +20 fundamental read and the -1.2% three-month move against the dollar are roughly consistent.'}

The readings behind it

IndicatorLatestAs of
Short-term rate2.98% 2026-08-01
Real rate (after inflation)+0.45% (2.5% CPI) 2026-08-01
10-year yield4.71% 2026-08-01
Real 10-year (after inflation)+2.18% (2.5% CPI) 2026-08-01
Fund positioning39th pctile 2026-09-22
Commodity momentum+0.74σ 2026-09-30
3-month move vs USD-1.2% None
Valuation (vs 1-yr norm)historically cheap None

Strength gap against the other majors

A positive gap means the New Zealand Dollar scores higher than the other side of the pair right now.

PairGapStronger side
NZD/CHF +59.6 NZD
EUR/NZD +58.4 NZD
GBP/NZD +47.5 NZD
NZD/CAD +28.2 NZD
NZD/USD +14.0 NZD
AUD/NZD +6.7 NZD
NZD/JPY -24.0 JPY