JPY #1 of 8 Updated 16 Aug, 20:20 UTC

Japanese Yen

The Japanese Yen currently leads all eight major currencies with a macro strength score of +25. The biggest tailwind is interest rates. With a short-term rate around 1.3%, the Japanese Yen offers a meaningful yield advantage over most of its peers, which tends to attract capital into the currency. Positioning is supportive: relative to the other majors, large speculators are leaning in favour of the Japanese Yen rather than against it. Markets are relatively calm and risk appetite is healthy, which takes some shine off the Japanese Yen. As a safe-haven currency, it draws less demand when investors are confident enough to chase yield elsewhere. The underlying economy is a bright spot — tight labour markets and solid employment data give the Japanese Yen an extra edge over currencies where the jobs picture is deteriorating.

JPY MACRO STRENGTH1Y · MACRO SCORE+25+34-39+25 AND HOLDING
Composite macro score over the past year. Range −100 to +100; zero is the middle of the pack.
Score
+25
Rank
#1 of 8
Trend
Stable +4.2
Price, 3 months
-0.3%

The five factors

Interest Rates +52
Growth +22
Positioning +46
Risk Mood -53
Model versus price

{'state': 'inline', 'label': 'Broadly in line', 'detail': 'No strong divergence: the +25 fundamental read and the -0.3% three-month move against the dollar are roughly consistent.'}

The readings behind it

IndicatorLatestAs of
Short-term rate1.27% 2026-05-01
Real rate (after inflation)+1.67% (-0.4% CPI) 2026-05-01
10-year yield2.67% 2026-06-01
Real 10-year (after inflation)+3.07% (-0.4% CPI) 2026-06-01
Unemployment2.5% 2026-05-01
Fund positioning38th pctile 2026-08-11
3-month move vs USD-0.3% None
Valuation (vs 1-yr norm)near fair value None

Strength gap against the other majors

A positive gap means the Japanese Yen scores higher than the other side of the pair right now.

PairGapStronger side
CHF/JPY +67.8 JPY
EUR/JPY +62.0 JPY
CAD/JPY +40.8 JPY
GBP/JPY +32.4 JPY
NZD/JPY +29.0 JPY
USD/JPY +28.0 JPY
AUD/JPY +1.6 JPY