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JPY

Japanese Yen Strength

+19 Slightly Strong ▲ strengthening Rank #2 of 8
Price vs fundamentals Broadly in line No strong divergence: the +19 fundamental read and the -1.8% three-month move against the dollar are roughly consistent.

The Japanese Yen is one of the stronger currencies right now, ranking #2 of eight with a score of +19. The biggest tailwind is interest rates. With a short-term rate around 1.2%, the Japanese Yen offers a meaningful yield advantage over most of its peers, which tends to attract capital into the currency. Markets are relatively calm and risk appetite is healthy, which takes some shine off the Japanese Yen. As a safe-haven currency, it draws less demand when investors are confident enough to chase yield elsewhere. The underlying economy is a bright spot — tight labour markets and solid employment data give the Japanese Yen an extra edge over currencies where the jobs picture is deteriorating. The trend is positive — the score has gained 15 points over recent weeks. On a valuation basis, it looks cheap versus its own one-year range, which may help cushion the downside from here.

What's driving it

Pillar breakdown
Interest Rates +39
Growth +41
Positioning -4
Risk Mood -21
Underlying data
Short-term rate1.24%as of 2026-04-01
Real rate (after inflation)+1.64% (-0.4% CPI)as of 2026-04-01
10-year yield2.65%as of 2026-05-01
Real 10-year (after inflation)+3.05% (-0.4% CPI)as of 2026-05-01
Unemployment2.5%as of 2026-04-01
Fund positioning4th pctileas of 2026-06-23
3-month move vs USD-1.8%
Valuation (vs 1-yr norm)historically cheap

Historic Macro Strength Trend

+100+500−50−100

JPY vs the other majors

Strength gap — click for the full pair

All currencies

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Research on JPY

The Yen's 40-Year Low: Why Record Intervention Isn't Working — and What Really Moves the Yen
The yen hit a 40-year low near 162.6/dollar and Tokyo is switching to surprise 'ambush' intervention. Here's why the rat…
Yen Hits a 40-Year Low: Why a BoJ Rate Hike and ¥11.7tn of Intervention Couldn't Stop It
The yen slid to a 40-year low near 162 even after the BoJ hiked to 1% and Japan spent a record ¥11.7tn defending it. Her…
The Three Safe Havens: Gold, the Yen and the Franc
Safe haven currencies — the Japanese yen, Swiss franc, and gold — appreciate when equity markets fall and fear spikes. H…
Oil's 24% Monthly Crash: The Disinflation Dividend and What Cheaper Crude Means for the Yen, Euro and Loonie
Brent has crashed ~24% on the month to about $72 as Gulf barrels return. The second leg is a supply story, not a fear st…

JPY strength — frequently asked

Is the Japanese Yen (JPY) strong or weak right now?

As of the latest update, the Japanese Yen scores +19 on PIPTHEORY's macro currency strength meter (Slightly Strong), ranking #2 of the 8 major currencies. The score refreshes every 4 hours.

What drives the Japanese Yen?

PIPTHEORY scores the Japanese Yen across five macro factors: interest rates, economic growth, speculative positioning, risk sentiment and commodity exposure. The 'What's driving it' breakdown above shows how each factor is contributing now.

How is JPY currency strength measured?

Each currency is scored from -100 (very weak) to +100 (very strong) relative to the other majors, using a mechanical model. The same inputs always produce the same score, so the reading never contradicts itself from one day to the next.

How often is the JPY strength score updated?

Every four hours, as fresh central-bank, economic and market data is released.