CHF #8 of 8 Updated 16 Aug, 20:20 UTC

Swiss Franc

The Swiss Franc sits at the bottom of the eight majors with a score of -43. Interest rates are the main headwind. At around 0.0%, the Swiss Franc pays far less than higher-yielding peers like the dollar or pound, which makes it less attractive to carry-seeking capital. Positioning is a clear headwind — speculative futures traders are heavily net-short the Swiss Franc, among the most bearish readings in years. That adds selling pressure, though such crowded shorts can snap back quickly. Markets are relatively calm and risk appetite is healthy, which takes some shine off the Swiss Franc. As a safe-haven currency, it draws less demand when investors are confident enough to chase yield elsewhere. The trend is negative — the score has dropped 10 points over recent weeks. On a valuation basis, it looks cheap versus its own one-year range, which may help cushion the downside from here.

CHF MACRO STRENGTH1Y · MACRO SCORE-43-7-48-43 AND FADING
Composite macro score over the past year. Range −100 to +100; zero is the middle of the pack.
Score
-43
Rank
#8 of 8
Trend
Weakening -10.3
Price, 3 months
-3.2%

The five factors

Interest Rates -45
Positioning -31
Risk Mood -53
Model versus price

{'state': 'confirmed', 'label': 'Confirmed by price', 'detail': 'The -43 fundamental read is matched by a -3.2% spot move against the dollar over three months — price agrees with the macro.'}

The readings behind it

IndicatorLatestAs of
Short-term rate-0.04% 2026-06-01
Real rate (after inflation)-0.08% (0.0% CPI) 2026-06-01
10-year yield0.31% 2026-06-01
Real 10-year (after inflation)+0.28% (0.0% CPI) 2026-06-01
Fund positioning16th pctile 2026-08-11
3-month move vs USD-3.2% None
Valuation (vs 1-yr norm)historically cheap None

Strength gap against the other majors

A positive gap means the Swiss Franc scores higher than the other side of the pair right now.

PairGapStronger side
EUR/CHF -5.8 EUR
CAD/CHF -27.0 CAD
GBP/CHF -35.4 GBP
NZD/CHF -38.8 NZD
USD/CHF -39.8 USD
AUD/CHF -66.2 AUD
CHF/JPY -67.8 JPY